“One of the basic axioms of the rational theory of decision under uncertainty is Savage’s (1954) sure-thing principle (STP).
Learn to apply Bayes' theorem in financial forecasting for insightful, updated predictions. Enhance decision-making with ...
Do Conditional Cash Transfers Improve Economic Outcomes in the Next Generation? Evidence from Mexico
Conditional cash transfer programs have spread to over 60 countries in the past two decades, but little is known about their long-term effects. We estimate the lasting impact of childhood exposure to ...
Mathematicians rely on numbers, but finding words to explain different levels of certainty has stymied everyone from the ...
By operating in the gray zone, states preserve escalation optionality, avoid reputation-locking commitments, and retain the ability to shift posture without incurring sudden political or strategic ...
Abstract: Problem solving, worked examples, and erroneous examples have proven to be effective learning activities in Intelligent Tutoring Systems (ITSs). However, it is generally unknown how to ...
Creative inventions and ideas that show next-level thinking. Terror charge filed in Jan. 6 case I asked 3 restaurant pros to name the most annoying thing diners do ...
Abstract: To ensure the stable and secure operation of the power system, we propose a method for short-term load probability prediction based on Conditional Generative Adversarial Network (CGAN) curve ...
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